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Story Archives: So just what are the odds?


So just what are the odds?
by Joey Martin - posted Thursday, August 21st, 2008 @ 8:01 amE-mail Story E-mail Story | Print Story Print Story 
So what are the chances of LSU winning a third BCS championship?

Funny you should ask.

According to the Las Vegas Hilton (at first I thought that was an arena football team owned by Paris), LSU has a 12-to-1 shot at winning the national title this season.

Southern California has the top odds at 3-to-1, another reason I thought that was Paris.

Florida and Oklahoma are 6-to-1 shots to win the title, while Georgia is an 8-to-1 shot.

Following LSU is Missouri at 15-to-1, West Virginia at 20-to-1 and Texas at 30-to-1.

Auburn has a 50-50 shot, while Alabama is 60-to-1.

Tennessee comes in at 100-to-, along with Kentucky. Boy, that has to send a sour note to Rocky Top.

Arkansas comes in at 200-to-1.

Some early lines have Florida as an 8 1/2 favorite over LSU.

There is no line on the LSU-Auburn game right now. Are you kidding? As crazy as that series is, it will probably not come out until game week.

LSU is a one point favorite over Georgia.

LSU is favored over Alabama by a touchdown and extra point.

The Tigers are a touchdown and extra point favorite over Arkansas, as well.

Needless to say, injuries and the emergence of some young players could change things quite a bit.

Florida is actually an 18 1/2 point favorite over Miami for their Sept.. 16 encounter, which happens to be the largest point spread for the marquee games of 2008 at this time. That's kind of like Oklahoma being a 17 1/2 point favorite over Nebraska.

Who would have thought that about five years ago?

Southern Cal is a 5 1/2 point favorite over Ohio State.

Ole Miss is favored over Mississippi State by 6 1/2 points.

Obviously, home field advantage plays a part in the point spread.

Florida's Tim Tebow is the favorite to win the Heisman Trophy at 3-to-1.

Chase Daniel of Missouri is next at 4-to-1.

Beanie Wells of Ohio State comes in at 11-2, followed by Georgia's Knowshon Moreno at 7-to-1.

Joe McKnight of USC is a 17-to-1 shot.

Of the close to 100 games presently listed by Northcoast Sports Service, 21 of them have points spreads of three points or less.

Sixteen have double-digit favorites.

LSU is 31-0 straight up against Sun Belt teams, and 9-3 against the spread against that conference.

The home team is 7-0 straight up and 3-1 against the spread in the Louisiana Tech New Mexico State series.

Louisiana-Lafayette is 3-21 straight up, but 14-1 against the spread since 1996 against current Conference USA teams.

South Carolina is 5-1 against the spread under Steve Spurrier as a double digit underdog.

Alabama is 14-2 straight up, but 4-10 against the spread in its last 16 season-openers.

Florida is 10-3-1 against the spread since 1994 in their first SEC game of the year.

Georgia is 10-4 against the spread the last 14 games as an away underdog.

Ole Miss is 0-10 against the spread the last 10 years in their SEC opener.

Mississippi State is 1-15 straight up and 2-14 against the spread in its series with LSU since 1992.

Tulane is 3-9 straight up and against the spread the last three yeas in November.

What does all this mean? Not a darn thing right now except we're getting more antsy for football. The only certain thing right now is that the BCS championship game will be January 8, 2009 at Dolphin Stadium in Miami.

And you can book that one.

• Cleaning up some unfinished business. Last week I ran my updated All-Dee Faircloth team.

I knew I would miss someone and sure enough I received a call from someone telling me about a person who deserved mentioning. And that made me think of a couple of other people.

And this list is sure to grow, but right now I have to add a couple of names. Prentis Jenkins certainly deserves his name in there with Eddie Ray Jackson and Keith Woodside as starting running backs, while Michael Bell belongs in the defensive backfield. Joe Ray Hooker needs mentioning as an honorable mention at linebacker.
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